By Paul Sankey
Published on March 6, 2025 at 8:02 AM
This is about OPEC+ AND demand, in this note we look at the latest US oil data, and tell a personal story about Elliott-for-PSX Board candidate Al Hirshberg. Using distillate (diesel) as our proxy, the fuel of transporting goods, as our proxy for economic activity, we find an abrupt and alarming change in the shape of distillate timespreads, where the fall from a smidge of backwardation has given way to outright collapse. If this is …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 18, 2025 at 9:08 AM
Greetings! It’s a whippy 21°F here in Brooklyn Heights, -6°C. This is the windiest street n New York City, running parallel to the promenade along the exposed hill over looking the grey-icy Atlantic in New York Harbor, with 30mph ice blasts taking wind chill to -7°F, -17°C. This morning at 6:15am at Clark Street, at The Drip coffee kiosk at 6.15am my voice wavered, and cracked, as I asked for my daily “large, ah, iced …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on January 11, 2025 at 1:30 PM
Refining Conference Day 2: PBF & PSX Well muggins here comes out of the 12th annual Sankey Refining Conference bullish refining! I’m sure you could have predicted that, but honest, guv, I went in with open-mind-to-bearish (somewhat bearish refining, relatively bullish crude to start 2025). But of course I knew that seasonally we had to try to be bullish, especially with this cold. Sure enough, after listening to seven straight refining CEOs, I drank the …
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