S&P 500NA+NA+NA%

NasdaqNA+NA+NA%

VIXNA+NA+NA%

DXYNA+NA+NA%

CONA+NA+NA%

WTI78.47-0.29-0.3682%

NATTY8.59+0.4+4.884%

Quote of the day:
  • “If you have an apple and I have an apple and we exchange these apples then you and I will still each have one apple.
  • But if you have an idea and I have an idea and we exchange these ideas, then each of us will have two ideas.”
— George Bernard Shaw

Correction: FANG valuation & an elephant trap

A certain friend just called regarding today’s Sunday Sankey and said “You have the valuation wrong for Diamondback/FANG”. Which matters because we are arguing about Pure Play valuation in US oils. And so I checked and yes – classic nightmare – the Diamondback share price was hard punched, that old spreadsheet elephant trap, and that was distorting FANG’s position in charts, made Diamondback appear too cheap on the charts. Two charts were affected. You would

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Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Sunday Heavyweights and Knife Fights

Busy week ahead! ENI ringing the bell on the NYSE tomorrow with management comments meeting for analysts. I’m seeing if I can jump on CNBC while I am on the exchange floor. It is a TV set and bell ringing photo op these days. The traders nowadays are chips in data centers. Those guys on the floor are extras. Woodside CEO Meg O’Neill dinner on Tuesday. CVX post-Hess analyst meeting Wednesday November 12th. Happy Hours

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Zoom Replay: A terrific hour (exactly) on Global Oil currently w Kathleen Kelley and Jan Stuart

This was a really enjoyable call and we covered pretty much everything that is current in global oil markets. Thanks as always to Kathleen and Jan, with contribution from LNG guru Gordon Shearer, and some contribution from the buyside. Very bearish sentiment expressed in COVID-level short interest in oil futures. China, inventory and demand; Weak LNG; Copper and tariffs; Spare capacity; all-time record US liquids production; Weak demand in latest data, ex-US, which is not

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Happy Hour Oil & OPEC – Kathleen Kelley + Jan Stuart

We wanted to keep the tenor of Happy Hours going with a call every week. But my thematic is not completed yet. US E&P M&A – very much the theme of this week. Comments welcome, and remember, Mark Viviano of Kimmeridge is coming on Happy Hour later this month. He has taken one of our note titles to Coterra: “fire the board!” In the meantime I am grateful that my friends Kathleen and Jan can

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Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Sunday Frankly, Mr Sankey

My Dear Correspondent, I was out all night last night. But to be clear, this nuit blanche, was not the “Do you fancy a swift half after work?” turning into an twelve hour bender, to return laughing uncontrollably as day breaks, having lost your tie and keys, loudly trying not to wake an incandescent wife. No sir, what would I know about that anyway? In fact, here in Michoacan, Mexico, we did a tour of

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Happy Hours through Thanksgiving

Today at 7pm ET Happy Hour is hosted by Zerohedge. I am on with Arjun Murti, hosted by Eric Stevenson. Will send replay for those of you that cannot join live. “Oil is the only asset down this year” is the title… so fun. https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/only-asset-down-year-oil November 6th EOG results 4pm. With a tsunami of oil results and EOG reporting after the market Thursday Happy Hour time, nobody covering oil needs another conference call next week.

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