By Paul Sankey
Published on April 20, 2025 at 5:25 PM
Happy Easter! Source: X.com – Tejano is kind of a buddy, real oil guy, runs wireline in the Permian ~ I am heading to Calgary tomorrow. With all the action in the Middle East, Europe, it might feel that I am heading in the wrong direction, but who knew that Canada would be the first and biggest loser from Trump II? We shall see, the mood apparently is Canadian fury at Trump II. Star meeting …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on April 13, 2025 at 4:14 PM
One of the recent Happy Hour lines that struck me, came from a Republican lobbyist who was a guest in the interim between Trump winning, and Trump being inaugurated. He repeated “tariffs” strongly, then followed up by saying that “During Trump 1, our firm had a track record of 85% success in getting an exemption on tariffs for our clients.” Hmmm. Sure enough, this weekend we have the “Tim Apple Tariff Exemption” whereby suddenly per …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on March 6, 2025 at 8:02 AM
This is about OPEC+ AND demand, in this note we look at the latest US oil data, and tell a personal story about Elliott-for-PSX Board candidate Al Hirshberg. Using distillate (diesel) as our proxy, the fuel of transporting goods, as our proxy for economic activity, we find an abrupt and alarming change in the shape of distillate timespreads, where the fall from a smidge of backwardation has given way to outright collapse. If this is …
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