Afternoon $PUMP

By Paul Sankey Published on December 22, 2021 at 3:58 PM

One of the great conundrums of oil is decline rate One of the unconsidered factors is oil field SERVICE decline rates of 20% per annum Oil field inflation is colliding with US E&P capital discipline US production growth next year over/under is just +500kb/d with downside We spoke to ProPetro $PUMP and others around our recent trip to Midland, the core of the Permian. Adding US production volumes over 2022 is going to be a […]

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Friday: OPEC meeting continues

By Paul Sankey Published on December 3, 2021 at 9:03 AM

So the December 2021 OPEC did not end. But the working decision was to increase production. Having not met the previous decision to increase production. OPEC+ also decided to continue to require those that had exceeded previous quotas, should still have to cut back to make up for excess production previously, with lack of production currently. Yep, it’s a mess, and in this note I publish a table that tries to make sense of it […]

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Sunday Bets

By Paul Sankey Published on November 21, 2021 at 3:55 PM

Presentation today, and commentary below: Thursday evening annoucement: major sellside meeting by ExxonMobil: “updates to their company plan” on Wednesday December 1st. Sellside invited. Virtual. Big deal for ExxonMobil. We had pondered how ExxonMobil would manage their annual capex announcement, due in December, vs their traditional strategy update due next March. We pondered if plans would be ready in time for a December update, given the scale of board and management change that has occurred […]

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