S&P 500NA+NA+NA%

NasdaqNA+NA+NA%

VIXNA+NA+NA%

DXYNA+NA+NA%

CONA+NA+NA%

WTI105.73-0.61-0.5736%

NATTY4.52+0.13+2.9613%

Quote of the day: The only way to deal with an unfree world is to become so absolutely free that your very existence is an act of rebellion. Albert Camus

Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Oil Thoughts Ahead of Jan Stuart and Kathleen Kelley on Happy Hour 1pm Today

Today oil market gurus Jan Stuart vs Kathleen Kelley as we get a gut check on oil markets to end summer. Register here – Premium Event summer time this afternoon 1pm ET.  https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-jan-stuart-interest-form-2/ LIVE Happy Hour next week drinks for clients during Barcap Week – Wednesday 4th in Midtown from 4pm onwards. I am working on the venue waiting for The Knickerbocker Hotel to get back. RSVP.  ~ A quick pre-call gut check on oil

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Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Management for Questions

With so many major oil & gas companies and clients heading to Pebble Beach this week, and Barcap in Manhattan next week, we thought it would be helpful to provide “Questions for Management”. Traditionally these notes are 20 pages long, brutal to write, stretching for specifics/filler, and arguably don’t help you cut to the pay zone. Here are questions for management in 250 words. While we think of oil & gas in this context, many

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Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Sunday Sticker Shocks and Straws

Hello, The last week of Summer 2024 is upon us. Welcome to the first week of 2024/5! Source: Bloomberg, Sankey Research Good luck to you & yours, may it be a great year. ~ Briefly noted: still no Prime Minister appointed in France, which is causing a continuing political crisis there. And next thing you know the founder of Telegram is arrested this weekend at Le Bourget, Paris’s private airport. Telegram, and that story, are

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Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Dan’s the man

Delighted to say we have Dan Dreyfus, founder and Chief Investment Officer at Bornite Capital on Happy Hour today, sorry for the late notice I forgot to submit this note. A deeply thoughtful a-track player, Dan founded Bornite in January of 2019. He has 19 years of investing experience including fundamentally-driven long/short, capital structure arbitrage, distressed investing, merger arbitrage, and broader portfolio management. Dan joined 3G Capital in 2013 to manage a commodities and industrials

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Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

DNC vs IRA – Political Jokes Aside

With the Democratic National Committee in full swing, CNBC today highlights a study by The Rhodium Group/MIT on the impact of the irritatingly-named Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). It deserves a way more accurate name, but IRA it is. This is the Clean Energy Subsidy Act, inflation reduction it surely is not. However, it is having a massive impact. All quotes are directly from Clean Investment Monitor: Tallying the Two-Year Impact of the Inflation Reduction Act

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Energy Transition
Paul Sankey

Sunday Multiple Multiples

On Friday I chatted to a major & long term client, a gen-u-ine hedge fund portfolio manager, and I realized that all our stock views right now are about multiple expansion/contraction; because we cannot get there on a bullish macro call. So today we talk multiples. ~ People kindly ask me how its going at Sankey Research, and the response is that the primary driver of our business is “Oil’s share of the S&P500”. Below

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