Sunday Flares, Flares and No Flares

By Paul Sankey Published on March 31, 2024 at 3:39 PM

Greetings!  Happy Easter. Spring is here, early spring, in Brooklyn Heights. I have begun to spend long moments staring at the garden. I shift to another spot and stare at the beds again. No meaningful gardening action as of yet. One asparagus tip has emerged from last year’s “growing asparagus” debacle. Things are going well for us; where do we stand at end-Q1 2024?   As Q1 closes, the first slide is titled: “Energy dangerously close to …

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Letter From Oaxaca

By Paul Sankey Published on March 10, 2024 at 6:26 PM

Greetings from the beach, To avoid repetition, let’s not talk about market all-time highs, concentration, and the N-stock. Let’s talk about Mesoamerican history-based opportunities in Mexican real estate. Because I’m in Porto Escondido, State of Oaxaca, Mexico. Photo above. Oaxaca State, capital Oaxaca City, on the southwest Pacific coast, is known as a poor state, with the most indigenous (pre-Hispanic) population, with remarkable history and historic sites, and world famous gastronomy. In this note we …

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Morning Saudi: Government, Aramco, Spare Capacity, and the Strong US$

By Paul Sankey Published on January 31, 2024 at 9:08 AM

Never a dull moment in oil, nothing beats a shock press release. The most exciting press releases leave plenty to the imagination. Aramco’s curt comment yesterday, all of two sentences long, was rip with understated ramifications on 1 million barrels per day of crude production and billions of capital investment being cancelled. And just like that, Bloomberg reports this morning that Saudi is considering a $10bn secondary offering, as soon as March. Savvy, these Saudis, …

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