Letter From Oaxaca

By Paul Sankey Published on March 10, 2024 at 6:26 PM

Greetings from the beach, To avoid repetition, let’s not talk about market all-time highs, concentration, and the N-stock. Let’s talk about Mesoamerican history-based opportunities in Mexican real estate. Because I’m in Porto Escondido, State of Oaxaca, Mexico. Photo above. Oaxaca State, capital Oaxaca City, on the southwest Pacific coast, is known as a poor state, with the most indigenous (pre-Hispanic) population, with remarkable history and historic sites, and world famous gastronomy. In this note we …

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Morning Saudi: Government, Aramco, Spare Capacity, and the Strong US$

By Paul Sankey Published on January 31, 2024 at 9:08 AM

Never a dull moment in oil, nothing beats a shock press release. The most exciting press releases leave plenty to the imagination. Aramco’s curt comment yesterday, all of two sentences long, was rip with understated ramifications on 1 million barrels per day of crude production and billions of capital investment being cancelled. And just like that, Bloomberg reports this morning that Saudi is considering a $10bn secondary offering, as soon as March. Savvy, these Saudis, …

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Morning Reed, Jeff, Olivier, Rich & Scott

By Paul Sankey Published on January 24, 2024 at 11:23 AM

4Q23 Earnings 1/19-1/23 (HAL, SLB, KMI, UAL, JBHT) On Sunday we said “Netflix to beat, Tesla to miss”. The Netflix call was hardly heroic, we just found re-setting all our accounts to be super-easy, those thrown off my ID happily subscribed themselves (son) and the Netflix film Society of the Snow is outstanding. One down, one to go, so if Tesla pulls a huge upside surprise, we are in coin flip territory on earnings call …

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