US Gasoline: June trembled like a butterfly

By Paul Sankey Published on May 31, 2026 at 7:05 PM

Amazing to watch May 2026 pass so fast, and Hormuz still all-but shut. Everybody points to June as the month in which things turn ugly in terms of tank bottoms, and price going exponentially higher seeking to destroy demand. But bottom line, prices are lower, and everyone is still merrily flying around. In this note we re-visit our JetFuel thesis – as we witness record flights, what’s the problem? We conclude that the key answer …

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Thematic: China-US in the Age of Hormuz

By Paul Sankey Published on May 15, 2026 at 12:07 AM

Please find attached our mid-Trump-Xi note, that attempts to cover the arc of the China energy challenge in the Age of Hormuz, mid-summit. History in the making. Hope you enjoy reading it as much as I enjoyed writing it. Paul Morelia, Michoacán, Mexico, 5/14/26

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Sunday Whistling Past

By Paul Sankey Published on May 3, 2026 at 4:02 PM

Greetings, Refiners are running at max capacity, and oil prices are finding a Hormuz blockage hierarchy. Excess profits are accruing to oil producers, US refiners, and shipping companies. Front page of USA Today, Daily Mail, nothing on Hormuz. I scrolled all the way down on the NY Post – not one story on Hormuz today. While the oil analysts get frantic, the NASDAQ hit a record high, and the President’s most important advisor, Mr Market, …

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