Sunday Saudi Puts, Iran Puts, SPR Puts, and

By Paul Sankey Published on May 12, 2024 at 7:08 PM

We have hit that point in oil markets when suddenly, just like that, all the newsflow turns bearish. Better put “seems bearish”. Once again, like our commentary on US distillate looking less terrible when you add back renewable diesel (note published last week), latest reports of the death of the oil market are over-stated. Prior reports have proven completely wrong. While there may be bearish fears regarding the upcoming June 1st OPEC meeting, the reality …

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Oil Earnings Results Post-Performance FWIW

By Paul Sankey Published on April 20, 2024 at 10:16 AM

A major client liked the chart we published last week, highlighting that Schlumberger has a pattern of under-performing quarterly earnings reports. Quod Errat Demonstrandum, as SLB under-performed on its results yesterday, despite a headline beat. All you can analyse is the margins, and guidance outlook change. They came in neutral to mildly negative on a stock that is relatively expensive. SLB was down -2.14% in a tape which saw the mighty energy sector XLE power …

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Morning Kinder, and Gentler Marchetti

By Paul Sankey Published on April 18, 2024 at 8:48 AM

<Brooklyn rap radio/Jamaica DJ horn> BBBRRRRAAAAP!: Tonight on Happy Hour, Tommy Marchetti. 4PM ET open mike. Plenty of chat as energy earnings started last night with Kinder and continue tomorrow with Schlumberger. Fresh from his four years at Cornerstone Macro then Piper Sandler as Global Energy Strategist, oil on Wall Street legend Tom Marchetti will be giving his stream of consciousness tonight. Starting as an accountant with KPMG, Marchetti joined J Aron/Goldman Sachs in 1994, …

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