Sunday Beam Me Up, Scottie… Scottie?

By Paul Sankey Published on July 20, 2025 at 5:49 PM

I sent you a slab of text yesterday, a Thematic, our favourite work, on US power markets, and specifically the upcoming PJM auction results. I have re-attached the note to this email so you can plunge into it, if you have not already. It’s linked at the end of this note and is entitled “Understanding PJM: The Auction” which results are due this week, Tuesday 22nd July. ~ Top of mind, very disappointing share price …

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Thematic “Understanding PJM: The Auction”

By Paul Sankey Published on July 19, 2025 at 7:50 PM

On Tuesday of this week (July 22nd 2025), the highly anticipated results of the capacity auction for the largest regulated publicly traded electricity market in the world, the PJM (Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Maryland) power system will be announced. PJM serves 65 million people with approximately 185 GW of installed capacity and a peak demand of around 153 GW, but more crucially, is the largest data center market in the world. “Think Pentagon” as we say …

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Love Letter to Ethane (from the Frontline of the US-China Trade War)

By Paul Sankey Published on April 26, 2025 at 4:55 PM

He said, Xi said (nothing). We all suffer lunacy in tracking the often-antagonistic, sometimes-capitulative iterations of this “nonsensical” trade war. Headlines this week have drifted towards hyperbole, portents of the death of US-China energy trade – especially oil and LNG. In this note we tit-tat US-China energy. Key points: US energy trade with China is one worldscale trade where we, the USA, are in major trade surplus, globally the dominant supply player, and effectively control …

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