Sunday Paty, Paty, and St Patrick

By Paul Sankey Published on March 17, 2024 at 4:32 PM

Greetings, Happy St Patrick’s Day to all, not least my wife Patricia and her mom, Patricia, both “Paty”. A thought today for my Irish grandmother, Ivy. From Cork. This past week: ExxonMobil slipped out the old Friday-night-after-the-close press release on yet more Guyana exploration success Profrac announced a market share war in US pressure pumping that we thought so significant, we started a major oil price & market thematic. Stay tuned on ACDC (the ticker …

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Morning US Natgas Cuts, Holdovers, Spare Capacity, and Negative NAVs

By Paul Sankey Published on March 8, 2024 at 10:03 AM

Rounding out our series on the drama of US natural gas – the under-pinning of the global energy economy – we combine the latest news on gas rig cuts with 10K reserves filings to show a concerning picture for the US natural gas market and gassy equity valuations. Relatively, and long term, we like Antero on liquids-rich production, deep inventory and strong propane. Similarly Range (RRC) has the second highest NGL cut after Antero. We …

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Morning Natural Gas: Cut Rigs Reap Rewards

By Paul Sankey Published on February 21, 2024 at 9:15 AM

Good news: Chesapeake is cutting activity in US natgas. In the “long cuts/short active” gas drillers pairs, we like propane-rich Antero long vs Short EQT who continue to keep activity high. EQT is supported by its hedging, which makes no sense to us: these financial instruments can be used to maintain cashflow, with no need to maintain activity. Generally, we do not like dry gas plays in 2024, but would favour Chesapeake with capex discipline, …

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