By Paul Sankey
Published on August 31, 2024 at 12:53 PM
Quote in this note: “this is the first time that the Middle East has more rigs than the United States. And it’s not now more, it’s almost double.” We were very interested in the quarterly report of a delisted SPAC international oilfield service (OFS) company this past week. So interested, that we wrote you a thematic today on NESR (National Energy Services Reunited) vs ExxonMobil. We found NESR’s results call to be a terrific refresher …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on August 18, 2024 at 4:07 PM
On Friday I chatted to a major & long term client, a gen-u-ine hedge fund portfolio manager, and I realized that all our stock views right now are about multiple expansion/contraction; because we cannot get there on a bullish macro call. So today we talk multiples. ~ People kindly ask me how its going at Sankey Research, and the response is that the primary driver of our business is “Oil’s share of the S&P500”. Below …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on August 14, 2024 at 9:49 AM
A focus note for you today, on Darling and the California Low Carbon Fuel Standard which has been an important factor in the weakness in West Coast refining margins, that is bleeding into wider refining margin weakness vs current refiner earnings estimates for Q3. We show in this note that California diesel is now 60% renewable, with attendant pressure on refining margins there, as gasoline demand has peaked, and 25% of vehicle sales are electric. …
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