By Paul Sankey
Published on March 6, 2025 at 8:02 AM
This is about OPEC+ AND demand, in this note we look at the latest US oil data, and tell a personal story about Elliott-for-PSX Board candidate Al Hirshberg. Using distillate (diesel) as our proxy, the fuel of transporting goods, as our proxy for economic activity, we find an abrupt and alarming change in the shape of distillate timespreads, where the fall from a smidge of backwardation has given way to outright collapse. If this is …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 16, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Last night we sent you a note “Valero: Nothing to See Here” jammed with oil market/refining/Valero/PBF/Neste Elliott Management/BP etc chat. In eccentric fashion, the note was approved and distributed yesterday on Saturday night at 11:15pm. Just the perfect timing for a work email. So this note serves to highlight it to you, and keep it brief otherwise. Stay tuned for Sankey Research Partner Greg Bordelon model portfolio update later today, I suspect, but don’t know, …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 13, 2025 at 9:35 AM
Super-timely call coming up given Valero’s status as the largest importer of Russian oil pre-Ukraine invasion. Biggest Mexican crude importer. #2 behind PSX on Canada heavy oil. Major potential Venezuelan importer. Major former Saudi importer. Today/now Thursday 13th February 10:30am ET: Valero CEO Lane Riggs, CFO Jason Fraser, COO Gary Simmons, IR Homer Bhullar Registration Link – https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-refining-conference-valero-interest-form/ You cannot consider the current geopolitical landscape without knowing this chart of US oil imports from Saudi. Source: Bloomberg …
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