Sunday Whistling Past

By Paul Sankey Published on May 3, 2026 at 4:02 PM

Greetings, Refiners are running at max capacity, and oil prices are finding a Hormuz blockage hierarchy. Excess profits are accruing to oil producers, US refiners, and shipping companies. Front page of USA Today, Daily Mail, nothing on Hormuz. I scrolled all the way down on the NY Post – not one story on Hormuz today. While the oil analysts get frantic, the NASDAQ hit a record high, and the President’s most important advisor, Mr Market, …

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Midday Product & Tanker not Crude Shortage

By Paul Sankey Published on April 9, 2026 at 1:18 PM

Greetings, Today, very shortly, 4pm Zoom Michelle Brouhard, Head of Policy & Geopolitical Risk at Kpler [global leading satellite/data intelligence focused on commodity markets]. A former oil trader and hedge fund player, Michelle is an expert in global oil balances, working for the premium oil flow intelligence player, Kpler. Register here: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-michelle-brouhard-head-of-policy-geopolitical-risk-at-kpler-interest-form/ ~ 1. The problem: refinery capacity and ships, not crude supply My thoughts have been occupied with the global refining and oil product …

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Qatar LNG Shutdown: Global Energy Crisis (ex-US)

By Paul Sankey Published on March 4, 2026 at 10:03 PM

LNG superpower Qatar finds itself having been bombed by both Israel AND Iran within the past year. Now a gigantic oil and gas outage, and notably the unprecedented shutdown of the world’s single largest LNG facility, which is a multi-month outage, will roil markets far more than is currently being discounted in relatively muted energy and equity market responses. The world is sold out of LNG supply, and this gas would represent around 2mb/d of …

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