Morning Kinder, and Gentler Marchetti

By Paul Sankey Published on April 18, 2024 at 8:48 AM

<Brooklyn rap radio/Jamaica DJ horn> BBBRRRRAAAAP!: Tonight on Happy Hour, Tommy Marchetti. 4PM ET open mike. Plenty of chat as energy earnings started last night with Kinder and continue tomorrow with Schlumberger. Fresh from his four years at Cornerstone Macro then Piper Sandler as Global Energy Strategist, oil on Wall Street legend Tom Marchetti will be giving his stream of consciousness tonight. Starting as an accountant with KPMG, Marchetti joined J Aron/Goldman Sachs in 1994, …

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BP: the Camel and the Horse

By Paul Sankey Published on April 6, 2024 at 2:38 PM

In this note we consider BP’s position in BPX, its US onshore play, in the context of the overall investment case for BP. Source: BP The following thoughts emerged, embracing multiple metaphors: “A camel is a horse designed by a committee”. BP seems designed by committee. It is a jack of all trades, where it should be the master of one. What is the elevator pitch for buying a stock? BP takes a trans-continental train …

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Gas Stations & the Weakening Low End Consumer

By Paul Sankey Published on March 25, 2024 at 2:11 PM

Gas station stocks: low end consumer weakening. Gas station play Alimentation Couche Tard ($ATD) profit warning. Negative implication for refiners with gas stations, such as DINO. We are backing off our “long gas station stocks” stance but still prefer MUSA (Murphy USA), with its massive buyback and low volatility. But watch for a couple of tough quarters ahead. We like long gasoline (equity ETF is $UGA) as a trade into Memorial Day on supply tightness, …

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