US E&P M&A: Gobbler’s Knob – Again

By Paul Sankey Published on June 1, 2024 at 12:27 PM

“That must mean we’re up here at Gobbler’s Knob, waiting for the forecast from the world’s most famous weatherman, Punxsutawney Phil.” Phil Connors (Bill Murray), Groundhog Day (1993) We are back to writing about E&P M&A … again. Our conclusions are broadly unchanged: Big companies are being incentivized by the market to take over the small, but with an evolution on the margin that finds asset quality now of equal importance to valuation; we are …

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CVX-Hess Feedback? Pushback.

By Paul Sankey Published on May 23, 2024 at 9:48 AM

This evening 4pm – Strategy Session Greg Bordelon on “Model Portfolio” featuring Jim Mooney. Portfolio Manager Death Match, Greg Bordelon vs Jim Mooney. The two friends and former colleagues at Millennium will debate process and application in running money in the oil and oil adjacent sectors. Both fabulously smart, experienced, knowledgeable, I am really looking forward to what they have to say. Register here: Sankey Strategy Session | James Mooney – Interest Form ~ Feedback …

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Oil Earnings Results Post-Performance FWIW

By Paul Sankey Published on April 20, 2024 at 10:16 AM

A major client liked the chart we published last week, highlighting that Schlumberger has a pattern of under-performing quarterly earnings reports. Quod Errat Demonstrandum, as SLB under-performed on its results yesterday, despite a headline beat. All you can analyse is the margins, and guidance outlook change. They came in neutral to mildly negative on a stock that is relatively expensive. SLB was down -2.14% in a tape which saw the mighty energy sector XLE power …

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