CERAWeek 2: Hamm on a Horse

By Paul Sankey Published on March 26, 2026 at 11:33 AM

Day 2 & 3, CERAWeek, a key organizer told me that there are 12,000 attendees, 900 companies, and at peak, 19 simultaneous presentations. That leaves me around 1.5 minutes at each presentation if I run between the four floors and two venues. Today for Strategy Session, 45 minutes live from CERAWeek, 3pm CT, 4pm ET, after I have to run to meeting with Greg Goff. I have invited our favourites Gordon Shearer (LNG), Kathleen Kelley …

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Sunday Distilling US Distillate

By Paul Sankey Published on February 22, 2026 at 5:53 PM

Pondering the potential disaster of the incoming blizzard that has started here. Our Monday JFK flight to London at 9am… Cancelled First world problem Some 80% of the world’s population has never taken a plane. As of 4pm snow barely an inch ~ This note is a bullish US Distillate note. Strong demand, flat supply. Bullish complex refiners such as Valero, Marathon Petroleum and PSX, but the rising tide lifts all US refining boats, assuming …

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Holly Go Heavy: DINO CEO Go Mystery

By Paul Sankey Published on February 19, 2026 at 9:21 AM

DINO: well, I have seen some bizarre quarterly earnings beats, some bizarre management changes, but HF Sinclair DINO’s results yesterday were extraordinary. With the Street estimating 45c of Q4 earnings, the company reported a huge beat, underlying $1.20 of EPS, the abrupt exit of the CEO, an audit review whereby the results were un-auditable as of now, and then the Chairman came on the call, and said “I’m the CEO now, we can’t audit our …

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