Sunday Champagne, Champions but no Clamato

By Paul Sankey Published on July 13, 2025 at 6:44 PM

Ola, You might remember my line over the past few years, my line that the biggest danger I face when I travel to Europe, with its land wars, economic and migrant crises etc, is getting hit by a flying champagne cork. Sure enough today’s incredible tennis final at Wimbledon was interrupted by a flying champagne cork landing on court. Congratulations to both players, incredible. A certain Permian Oil CEO and I shared messages of incredulity …

Read More

Valuing AI in Texas Pacific Land (& Permian Oils)

By Paul Sankey Published on June 8, 2025 at 12:11 PM

“There is a Lot of Land in West Texas” One of the oldest oil companies in currently quoted US oil equities, Texas Pacfiic Land, originating in 1871, is a barely known outsider that emerged seemingly from nowhere to S&P500 inclusion in 2024: TPL now has a larger market cap (no debt) than Devon, Coterra, Halliburton, Antero or Permian Resources. In this note we deconstruct TPL’s valuation, and establish the massive implied AI Data Center land …

Read More

Sunday Thematic Woodside: Stateside

By Paul Sankey Published on May 18, 2025 at 2:30 PM

This Sunday note is primarily further to Woodside. We had dinner with Graham Tiver, Woodside CFO, last Tuesday evening. ~ Right now we are focusing on thematic research, because there ain’t no point in chasing this market day-to-day. With that said, to now comment very briefly on markets, we had Torsten Slok on Happy Hour Thursday, so we are covered on macro. We emailed you his slides. Every indicator with the possible exception of US …

Read More