By Paul Sankey
Published on October 27, 2024 at 11:33 AM
Good day from Malaga, Huge rainstorms were welcomed by locals last night here in Southern Spain. We return to London tomorrow. Later today, in his weekly model portfolio update, Greg will review what happened in oil earnings and our model portfolio last week, and the huge week ahead for oil and wider market earnings reports. His book continues to perform very well, and even if his investing process may not match yours, it is highly …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on June 14, 2024 at 9:14 AM
What segment of the global oil value chain saw a structural increase in margins post-COVID? ~ You got it! Gas Stations is indeed the correct answer. Source: Bloomberg Not only have margins doubled in pump sales – historically a brutally competitive, low margin business, but the industry has growth. Shown below, Casey’s has scaled from 1,700 locations to 2,800 locations in the last decade. Source: Bloomberg We can argue that while a more efficient US …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on March 25, 2024 at 2:11 PM
Gas station stocks: low end consumer weakening. Gas station play Alimentation Couche Tard ($ATD) profit warning. Negative implication for refiners with gas stations, such as DINO. We are backing off our “long gas station stocks” stance but still prefer MUSA (Murphy USA), with its massive buyback and low volatility. But watch for a couple of tough quarters ahead. We like long gasoline (equity ETF is $UGA) as a trade into Memorial Day on supply tightness, …
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