The Knicks, Vultures, and “The Art of the Deal”

By Paul Sankey Published on June 14, 2026 at 4:26 PM

As I write this, we are rushing to get ahead of the 3:30 p.m. ET press conference planned for President Trump today regarding the seemingly endless “Deal Very Soon” situation with Iran. Let’s repeat our quote from the 2000s Iran nuclear EU “It’s like playing chess with a monkey. You get them to checkmate, and then they swallow the king.” Watching the U.S.–Iran dynamic right now feels exactly like watching a Knicks game: we constantly …

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CASY Wild: Wings, Pizza, Gasoline (and BP)

By Paul Sankey Published on June 11, 2026 at 1:01 PM

Happy Hour today with Neil McMahon is POSTPONED until 24 June, so, just a couple of weeks. And he will have been in the Middle East in the interim, so that works. Kimmeridge (for he is founding partner) has declared Final Investment Decision (FID) on Commonwealth — a 9.5 Mtpa (~1.25 bcf/d), $13bn Louisiana LNG export project with 2030 start-up — in partnership with Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala Energy and CPP Investments (24.1% and 31% of …

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Sunday Gulf War III Week 2 – Tanker Passage, What Tanker Passage?

By Paul Sankey Published on March 8, 2026 at 7:56 PM

Well, that was quite a week. And there it is, oil through $100/bbl on the Tokyo open. It is blatantly clear that the Trump Administration had zero, nada, nothing, as contingency plan for Iran declaring the Strait of Hormuz shut to transit. Even now, their $20bn insurance knee jerk response has been completely ineffective. We are facing the largest overall oil & gas volume outage of my career, which started in 1990, Gulf War 1. …

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