Casey’s take it to Beaver

By Paul Sankey Published on June 14, 2024 at 9:14 AM

What segment of the global oil value chain saw a structural increase in margins post-COVID? ~ You got it! Gas Stations is indeed the correct answer. Source: Bloomberg Not only have margins doubled in pump sales – historically a brutally competitive, low margin business, but the industry has growth. Shown below, Casey’s has scaled from 1,700 locations to 2,800 locations in the last decade. Source: Bloomberg We can argue that while a more efficient US …

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Gas Stations & the Weakening Low End Consumer

By Paul Sankey Published on March 25, 2024 at 2:11 PM

Gas station stocks: low end consumer weakening. Gas station play Alimentation Couche Tard ($ATD) profit warning. Negative implication for refiners with gas stations, such as DINO. We are backing off our “long gas station stocks” stance but still prefer MUSA (Murphy USA), with its massive buyback and low volatility. But watch for a couple of tough quarters ahead. We like long gasoline (equity ETF is $UGA) as a trade into Memorial Day on supply tightness, …

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