Morning US Natgas Cuts, Holdovers, Spare Capacity, and Negative NAVs

By Paul Sankey Published on March 8, 2024 at 10:03 AM

Rounding out our series on the drama of US natural gas – the under-pinning of the global energy economy – we combine the latest news on gas rig cuts with 10K reserves filings to show a concerning picture for the US natural gas market and gassy equity valuations. Relatively, and long term, we like Antero on liquids-rich production, deep inventory and strong propane. Similarly Range (RRC) has the second highest NGL cut after Antero. We …

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Sunday Suddenly Presidents’ Day

By Paul Sankey Published on February 18, 2024 at 4:28 PM

Suddenly we are all bullish oils. Last week went well. Certainly it went well by oil’s atrocious recent standards vs the wider market. In fact, last week might just be a very bullish set up for the oils. But that statement depends a lot on NVDA results ahead. NVDA reports this week 21st February Wednesday after the market, going head-to-head with oil laggard APA, formerly Apache. We do not expect APA results to change the …

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Morning Comstock: Thelma, the Black Knight, & Forrest, bearish natgas

By Paul Sankey Published on February 15, 2024 at 10:03 AM

The market whisper is that natgas is heading to break the buck (<$1/mmbtu Henry Hub). Time to buy natgas? We are not switching stance until Comstock capitulates.  The company reported results and held its conference call yesterday. ~ ExxonMobil: the company risks Maduro vs Guyana as 1:10 risk where one is low. Clients are asking about Chevron’s delayed proxy too. CVX say the S-4 will be issued this quarter and “nothing recently in the news …

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