By Paul Sankey
Published on December 6, 2023 at 9:08 AM
The final section of our 2024 refining themes takes us to the single biggest sector in global oil, and one with potentially the most dramatic transition: US gasoline. So far we have covered: DIVERGING BALANCES – short distillate, long gasoline; China petchem solves excess gasoline? CAPACITY ADDS – Major additional capacity East of Suez, Nigeria’s Dangote, Mexico’s Dos Bocas DIFFERENTIALS NARROW – Saudi cuts vs burgeoning US light-sweet, Q3 2023 start up of Canada’s TMX RENEWABLE DIESEL…
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By Paul Sankey
Published on December 1, 2023 at 11:17 PM
“How was dinner with Chevron last night?” asked several clients: My reply: “It was a thirty person private event with lashings of sycophancy, glooped in an ingratiating gravy.” “Yeah” replied a client “I figured, from the sellside notes this morning.” The obsequious sellside is made more striking, because the buyside is currently negative on Chevron. I mean look at the price chart. Hey, the buyside are getting really negative oil. They are pretty negative natgas….
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By Paul Sankey
Published on November 17, 2023 at 11:43 AM
Trans Mountain Pipeline expansion & WCS Diffs The North American oil world is keenly watching progress on the last legs of the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, the long-awaited 590 kbd expansion of pipeline moving production from Alberta to the Vancouver area. Costs have ballooned from C$5.4B up to over C$31B and after years of delay, the expansion startup is almost here. This is possibly the single most cost-overrun project in global oil & gas history…
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