By Paul Sankey
Published on April 13, 2025 at 4:14 PM
One of the recent Happy Hour lines that struck me, came from a Republican lobbyist who was a guest in the interim between Trump winning, and Trump being inaugurated. He repeated “tariffs” strongly, then followed up by saying that “During Trump 1, our firm had a track record of 85% success in getting an exemption on tariffs for our clients.” Hmmm. Sure enough, this weekend we have the “Tim Apple Tariff Exemption” whereby suddenly per …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on March 20, 2025 at 8:23 AM
TODAY will be Diamondback CEO-designate Kaes Van’t Hof on Happy Hour, 4pm ET. Premium event. Register here. This might be the best-timed C-chat we have ever had. https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-diamondback-cfo-president-kaes-vant-hof-interest-form/ Great timing? According to very limited reports Diamondback is fresh from meeting Mssrs Trump, Wright, and Burgum at the White House, don’t have the exact corporate execs in attendance, but there is an unofficial list of the companies. Nobody energy company seems to want to say much, …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on March 6, 2025 at 8:02 AM
This is about OPEC+ AND demand, in this note we look at the latest US oil data, and tell a personal story about Elliott-for-PSX Board candidate Al Hirshberg. Using distillate (diesel) as our proxy, the fuel of transporting goods, as our proxy for economic activity, we find an abrupt and alarming change in the shape of distillate timespreads, where the fall from a smidge of backwardation has given way to outright collapse. If this is …
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