DOE data: Don’t Break the Rules; Merely Test Their Elasticity.

By Paul Sankey Published on June 3, 2026 at 6:42 PM

Yet again, we find the Hormuz situation has actually deteriorated. CNBC today interviewed Israeli PM Netanyahu. He remains hard line, talking Iranian regime collapse. Bond vigilantes are marauding today, 30 year going through 5% again. Equity market doesn’t like it. And when they write the history of the AI bubble 2022-2027, the issuance by Google of $80bn of stock in early June 2026 will be one red line that was crossed. We have said Argentina …

US Gasoline: June trembled like a butterfly

By Paul Sankey Published on May 31, 2026 at 7:05 PM

Amazing to watch May 2026 pass so fast, and Hormuz still all-but shut. Everybody points to June as the month in which things turn ugly in terms of tank bottoms, and price going exponentially higher seeking to destroy demand. But bottom line, prices are lower, and everyone is still merrily flying around. In this note we re-visit our JetFuel thesis – as we witness record flights, what’s the problem? We conclude that the key answer …

Thematic: China-US in the Age of Hormuz

By Paul Sankey Published on May 15, 2026 at 12:07 AM

Please find attached our mid-Trump-Xi note, that attempts to cover the arc of the China energy challenge in the Age of Hormuz, mid-summit. History in the making. Hope you enjoy reading it as much as I enjoyed writing it. Paul Morelia, Michoacán, Mexico, 5/14/26