Exciting Events, Tourmaline

By Paul Sankey Published on August 9, 2022 at 5:34 PM

Delighted to say that Dr James Henderson is on Happy Hour Strategy Session this week A PREMIUM EVENT. Henderson is an expert in Russia. He started at Amerada Hess, then joined Wood Mackenzie in Edinburgh, where to my eternal gratitude, he was directly responsible for hiring me to join Wood Mac. Great times, Wood Mac and Edinburgh, where my 3 kids were born. Jim moved on from Wood Mac to Russia, heading research at Renaissance […]

Read More

Morning China dis-inflation (to inflation)

By Paul Sankey Published on July 13, 2022 at 12:03 PM

Rampant inflation globally, underlined by today’s US CPI print has an extraordinary backdrop – China has been dis-inflationary. In certain key markets, notably crude oil and above all LNG, China demand has been negative at the margin in terms of demand growth, with significant roll-overs from previous rampant import growth. Assuming China works through its COVID issues and pursues its 2022 GDP growth plan, a re-acceleration in demand for key commodities seems certain, particularly in […]

Read More

Thematic Update: EU Gas Crisis

By Paul Sankey Published on July 7, 2022 at 8:11 AM

Last year, Europe rose to a 30 bcfd natural gas deficit between production and consumption (>60% import dependent); with variable power dependence (wind, solar) as the shaky offset, two major swing winter suppliers, namely the massive Gronigen gas field in Holland, and the UK’s dominant gas storage facility, Rough, shut down. The situation is far more extreme in terms of winter shortages, than even the annual deficit shows. In energy security terms, certainly as regards […]

Read More