Sunday Sankey 1/31/21

By Paul Sankey Published on January 31, 2021 at 11:55 AM

The feeling is that oil price action this past week was very bullish given that it is traditionally-weak January and it held up vs US$ up and market down moves. Major clients are highlighting SPACs. We see the SPAC route as a major outlet to address the market imbalance between investment $ seeking renewable energy opportunities, and lack of renewable energy market cap plays. In today’s Sunday Sankey we replicate several slides published by Houston […]

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Morning CEOs

By Paul Sankey Published on October 27, 2020 at 9:10 AM

Today: how many CEOs per barrel? The calculation was triggered by BP results this morning, which underline our description that the oil market has settled at an equilibrium of “exquisite pain” – sustaining almost exactly $40/bbl since the beginning of Q3 (Brent broke $40/bbl for the first time post-COVID on 5th June and has hugged the price ever since). This is the planning assumption that we believe oils have to assume as their base case. […]

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Sunday Sankey 10/4/20

By Paul Sankey Published on October 4, 2020 at 11:24 AM

Obviously, the week ahead will be dominated by the twin horsemen of COVID and bailout. We are making history. In this note, XOM is now worth less than Jeff Bezos, even after his divorce. Nextera has become the largest energy stock in the US. We also show XOM compared to Big Tobacco, to show this is not all ESG. The oil market looks rough, as we had warned all summer, it would be post Labor […]

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