A Theory of Oil Inventory & Torsten Slok Happy Hour

By Paul Sankey Published on May 14, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Tomorrow Happy Hour we welcome back one of the hottest Strategists on Wall Street, Torsten Slok! Zoom 4pm ET. He has been causing a sensation with his widely distributed macro work for private equity giant Apollo. One question I want to ask him: how many participants did you get on  your immediately-post-“Liberation Day” strategy call? A lot. My guess: 20,000? Our own Happy Hour was brilliantly timed that same week, actually a day earlier post-Tariff …

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Aramco, Trump, Saudi, Qatar, War & Golf

By Paul Sankey Published on May 13, 2025 at 11:10 AM

With President Donald Trump arriving in Saudi, it is a good time to comment on Aramco’s Q1 2025 results released yesterday. Source: NYT Politico, the Washington DC political news website, called me a few days ago to ask me “how come oil is not on the official agenda of Trump talks in Saudi?” The resulting article quoted me in support of the US oil & gas industry vs the potential damage of Trump’s low oil …

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Sunday Certificate from Boston

By Paul Sankey Published on May 11, 2025 at 1:47 PM

Hello from Boston, “Hello”, he said, in a most British tone. The British are coming! Sure, the Tea Party, Independence Day. Don’t believe the hype, they are sequels. We need a Democrat Tea Party, in true Boston style, but the Democrats here are hopeless. My youngest son Harry’s full Boston graduation (Northeastern) is this evening, putting me free & clear from private education fees that are crippling. His college: $84k per year. We are leaving. …

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