Sunday Second Fastest Runners

By Paul Sankey Published on April 26, 2026 at 8:36 PM

This week, delighted to say we will host Ed Morse, the most tenured oil analyst on Wall St, a legend, to Happy Hour at our regular 4pm ET time slot, Thursday (30th April – time flies). I appeared on CNBC with Ed live from the NYSE in March 2020, and listened to answers very, very carefully. I walked away and tripled all my demand destruction forecasts, worked out the combination of Saudi at record production …

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BP: Trading Statement; Raising Our Brent forecast to $120/bbl for 2026

By Paul Sankey Published on April 14, 2026 at 10:32 AM

With everybody yelling about the massive disconnect of Dated Brent over paper Brent, which has been around a +$40/bbl premium in recent days, I have seen no mention of the large fact that the Big Oils earn Dated Brent, not the paper price that is killing oil bulls (long the paper) with frustration. So the price you see on your screen – Brent around $100/bbl – far understates what the companies will earn when they …

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Sunday Upside Down Under

By Paul Sankey Published on April 12, 2026 at 8:24 PM

Good day, Yesterday I found myself transported into a personal Gulf War moment. I was examining the extensive damage to my large air condenser unit, a major, brand new piece of infrastructure, just two years old. It had been hit directly from above by a 700lb incoming projectile. Direct hit to the top, wrecked. I had a flash the Qatar desert, considering engineers inspecting damage, must feel like this. The unit was obviously a write …

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