By Paul Sankey
Published on August 18, 2024 at 4:07 PM
On Friday I chatted to a major & long term client, a gen-u-ine hedge fund portfolio manager, and I realized that all our stock views right now are about multiple expansion/contraction; because we cannot get there on a bullish macro call. So today we talk multiples. ~ People kindly ask me how its going at Sankey Research, and the response is that the primary driver of our business is “Oil’s share of the S&P500”. Below …
Read More
By Paul Sankey
Published on April 20, 2024 at 10:16 AM
A major client liked the chart we published last week, highlighting that Schlumberger has a pattern of under-performing quarterly earnings reports. Quod Errat Demonstrandum, as SLB under-performed on its results yesterday, despite a headline beat. All you can analyse is the margins, and guidance outlook change. They came in neutral to mildly negative on a stock that is relatively expensive. SLB was down -2.14% in a tape which saw the mighty energy sector XLE power …
Read More
By Paul Sankey
Published on January 24, 2024 at 11:23 AM
4Q23 Earnings 1/19-1/23 (HAL, SLB, KMI, UAL, JBHT) On Sunday we said “Netflix to beat, Tesla to miss”. The Netflix call was hardly heroic, we just found re-setting all our accounts to be super-easy, those thrown off my ID happily subscribed themselves (son) and the Netflix film Society of the Snow is outstanding. One down, one to go, so if Tesla pulls a huge upside surprise, we are in coin flip territory on earnings call …
Read More