By Paul Sankey
Published on March 8, 2024 at 10:03 AM
Rounding out our series on the drama of US natural gas – the under-pinning of the global energy economy – we combine the latest news on gas rig cuts with 10K reserves filings to show a concerning picture for the US natural gas market and gassy equity valuations. Relatively, and long term, we like Antero on liquids-rich production, deep inventory and strong propane. Similarly Range (RRC) has the second highest NGL cut after Antero. We …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 25, 2024 at 7:29 PM
Greetings, There is an embarrassing feeling about current equity markets, for us writing this note, a bit like hosting family lunch on the patio at the country club, while trying to ignore the spectacular naked celebrity gloriously sunbathing by the pool. To be less… conceptual: we got our answer to the question we posed last Sunday on NVDA earnings. ~ It’s hard to avoid staring but we pretend to focus on the slightly dry turkey …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 21, 2024 at 9:15 AM
Good news: Chesapeake is cutting activity in US natgas. In the “long cuts/short active” gas drillers pairs, we like propane-rich Antero long vs Short EQT who continue to keep activity high. EQT is supported by its hedging, which makes no sense to us: these financial instruments can be used to maintain cashflow, with no need to maintain activity. Generally, we do not like dry gas plays in 2024, but would favour Chesapeake with capex discipline, …
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