The Permian Big Unit: ExxonMobil’s MO (Magnus Opus)

By Paul Sankey Published on October 12, 2024 at 1:58 PM

With ExxonMobil approaching a December 11th analyst day, which we believe is not only a major milestone in the company’s history, but also global oil & gas history, we did what we did with Guyana. We took it to the mat. In this extensive note, we went back through every ExxonMobil conference call and analyst meeting, starting with the company’s completely wrong forecast for the US hydrocarbon balance in 2006, through the 2010 XTO deal, …

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Sunday Knife Fights, Gun Fights, and Missile Strikes

By Paul Sankey Published on October 6, 2024 at 2:36 PM

Good day, We dropped a weekly video “Global Oil Risk” from London Friday and shortly thereafter did a podcast for “Mr 30m Downloads” Jack Farley, returning a favour for him being a guest on Happy Hour this week, especially as we buried him with a Rosh Hashanah-diminished crowd (ie Thursday’s Happy Hour very quiet, mid-Rosh). Happy New Year to those that celebrate. L’shana tovah u’metukah!  ~ Those appearances have thrown me right into the maelstrom …

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“Everybody off the Bus. I want the Shiny People over here…”

By Paul Sankey Published on September 27, 2024 at 10:36 AM

Boy, was I happy after our Happy Hour last evening in terms of content. We had Rob Raymond lined up to talk about private equity in energy with a focus on data centers, when the first dial-in appeared and was a major long only natural resources portfolio manager – one of the biggest in the world – dialed in from an Uber in Houston on his way back from a field field trip to Guyana. …

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