BP: the Camel and the Horse

By Paul Sankey Published on April 6, 2024 at 2:38 PM

In this note we consider BP’s position in BPX, its US onshore play, in the context of the overall investment case for BP. Source: BP The following thoughts emerged, embracing multiple metaphors: “A camel is a horse designed by a committee”. BP seems designed by committee. It is a jack of all trades, where it should be the master of one. What is the elevator pitch for buying a stock? BP takes a trans-continental train …

Read More

CERA Week – the best XOM vs CVX-HES Guyana theory.

By Paul Sankey Published on March 20, 2024 at 8:55 AM

CERA Week key interest – certainly among the gaggle of merger arbitrage clients that attended this week – was for Chevron, Hess, and ExxonMobil, not least with XOM suddenly releasing a Guyana exploration 8K after the market Friday into the conference open, where Day 1 the star plenary speaker was ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods. He said a lot, directly pertaining to Guyana, so the 8K was clearly related. One key line was “we are not …

Read More