Sunday Auto Armageddon & Peace with Iran

By Paul Sankey Published on April 13, 2025 at 4:14 PM

One of the recent Happy Hour lines that struck me, came from a Republican lobbyist who was a guest in the interim between Trump winning, and Trump being inaugurated. He repeated “tariffs” strongly, then followed up by saying that “During Trump 1, our firm had a track record of 85% success in getting an exemption on tariffs for our clients.” Hmmm. Sure enough, this weekend we have the “Tim Apple Tariff Exemption” whereby suddenly per …

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Sunday Russia & Tech, Lovers & Losers… Rigged

By Paul Sankey Published on February 9, 2025 at 6:06 PM

With so much macro noise, veritable banging and crashing, headlines emanating from The White House, it is also notable how much micro, company-specific news, we are getting. Stock price divergence has been high to start the year, for example among the Monopoly 7 (Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Nvidia). In my memory of the “Monopoly 7”, we have never seen one each of the Mag 7 in each performance quadrant on the x-plot below. …

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Morning oh Canada! Buy MEG?

By Paul Sankey Published on January 22, 2025 at 10:06 AM

Hybrid bonus Refining Conference/E&P Session tomorrow Thursday 4PM, leading private equity and refining executive: Jeff A. Stevens. Jeff was a stalwart of the Sankey Refining conference back when he was CEO of Western Refining, which was ultimately sold to Greg Goff’s Tesoro for $6bn in 2017. Subsequently he built and just sold a major Permian private E&P player, Franklin Mountain. He has fascinating insight to US oil investment. Coterra Announces Accretive Permian Basin Acquisitions November …

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