By Paul Sankey
Published on August 18, 2024 at 4:07 PM
On Friday I chatted to a major & long term client, a gen-u-ine hedge fund portfolio manager, and I realized that all our stock views right now are about multiple expansion/contraction; because we cannot get there on a bullish macro call. So today we talk multiples. ~ People kindly ask me how its going at Sankey Research, and the response is that the primary driver of our business is “Oil’s share of the S&P500”. Below …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on August 14, 2024 at 9:49 AM
A focus note for you today, on Darling and the California Low Carbon Fuel Standard which has been an important factor in the weakness in West Coast refining margins, that is bleeding into wider refining margin weakness vs current refiner earnings estimates for Q3. We show in this note that California diesel is now 60% renewable, with attendant pressure on refining margins there, as gasoline demand has peaked, and 25% of vehicle sales are electric. …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on August 4, 2024 at 2:11 PM
We attended a big high-end Italian wedding in New Jersey yesterday, which was a great privilege. If a wedding church service is in Hoboken, and the father of the bride is an “old school bond trader” lavishly hosting 350 people at a top New Jersey wedding venue, how great do you think the crooner strolling through the crowd in black tie doing the Sinatra covers, sings? “Old school bond trader?” I asked the father of …
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