Post-OPEC Part III – But Wait it Gets Worse

By Paul Sankey Published on June 6, 2024 at 9:23 AM

Tonight on Happy Hour – 4pm ET – Johannes (Jan) Stuart serves as global energy strategist at Piper Sandler. A self-described oil-geek, Stuart and his team take a micro-fundamentals approach to energy analysis and forecasting – which frequently lands them away from consensus. Previously, Stuart spent 11 years in sell-side research, building leading energy-macro franchises at Credit Suisse, Macquarie and UBS. He was a journalist for much of the nineties and started his career at …

Read More

Sunday Kingdoms and Princesses

By Paul Sankey Published on June 2, 2024 at 1:55 PM

Summer Greetings, Mexico and India elections culminate today in one of the busiest democratic years in history – the greatest in terms of number of voters. Incredible positive really. Violence in emerging markets/ Mexico and the limits on Indian growth because of democracy are two mega-themes. People want to live in Fascist States? Former case, we are expecting a major global leader assassination or deposal; we can only speculate on who and what impact in …

Read More

US E&P M&A: Gobbler’s Knob – Again

By Paul Sankey Published on June 1, 2024 at 12:27 PM

“That must mean we’re up here at Gobbler’s Knob, waiting for the forecast from the world’s most famous weatherman, Punxsutawney Phil.” Phil Connors (Bill Murray), Groundhog Day (1993) We are back to writing about E&P M&A … again. Our conclusions are broadly unchanged: Big companies are being incentivized by the market to take over the small, but with an evolution on the margin that finds asset quality now of equal importance to valuation; we are …

Read More