The Bottom is RIN, A Poison Pen Letter

By Paul Sankey Published on April 30, 2025 at 9:24 AM

Happy Hour this week, the authors of this note, Greg Bordelon & Paul Sankey, will discuss ethane, RINs, the model portfolio and last week in Calgary and California, in an open mic session. Date/Time – Thursday, May 1st ,4PM ET Guests – Paul Sankey & Greg Bordelon Registration Link –Click Here ~ What happens to local markets if you embargo imports? Keeping up our mini-theme of exploring the more arcane aspects of US oil, having covered a “Love Letter …

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Sunday Uncertain Veblen Goods

By Paul Sankey Published on April 27, 2025 at 8:17 PM

Greetings, We can keep it shorter today, as yesterday we sent you a Greg Bordelon thematic special on China energy tariffs, not to mention he beat me this evening and released his Model Portfolio note just now. The China note yesterday I most enjoyed reading & editing, and adding fun asides, from the Delta lounge at LAX on Friday night before I took the red-eye back here to Brooklyn. No wonder I never normally take …

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Love Letter to Ethane (from the Frontline of the US-China Trade War)

By Paul Sankey Published on April 26, 2025 at 4:55 PM

He said, Xi said (nothing). We all suffer lunacy in tracking the often-antagonistic, sometimes-capitulative iterations of this “nonsensical” trade war. Headlines this week have drifted towards hyperbole, portents of the death of US-China energy trade – especially oil and LNG. In this note we tit-tat US-China energy. Key points: US energy trade with China is one worldscale trade where we, the USA, are in major trade surplus, globally the dominant supply player, and effectively control …

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