Morning Comstock: Thelma, the Black Knight, & Forrest, bearish natgas

By Paul Sankey Published on February 15, 2024 at 10:03 AM

The market whisper is that natgas is heading to break the buck (<$1/mmbtu Henry Hub). Time to buy natgas? We are not switching stance until Comstock capitulates.  The company reported results and held its conference call yesterday. ~ ExxonMobil: the company risks Maduro vs Guyana as 1:10 risk where one is low. Clients are asking about Chevron’s delayed proxy too. CVX say the S-4 will be issued this quarter and “nothing recently in the news …

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Morning Klipperty, Becks and Loudermilk

By Paul Sankey Published on January 26, 2024 at 8:32 AM

Mark Viviano of Kimmeridge private equity is always impressive. He was on our Happy Hour last evening, to a good crowd of investors. In 2020 Viviano launched a first fund for Kimmeridge, as a “public activist” model. That fund has now returned money to investors, which triggers Viviano’s return. OVV and Oasis were two high profile investments there. Oasis merged with Whiting to form Bakken play Chord Energy. OVV awaits a strategic move, in the …

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Permian Resources ($PR): Love Letter to Midland

By Paul Sankey Published on January 16, 2024 at 4:48 PM

The hottest company in the Permian right now, and our TOP PICK for 2023 in US Exploration and Production (E&P), is barely known on Wall Street, nay, barely known outside their home city of Midland, West Texas. PERMIAN RESOURCES ($PR) is a $10B market capitalization, $14B enterprise value (EV) company producing some 300 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (kboe/d) of which just under half is oil. Management has an excellent reputation among those …

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