Sunday Distilling US Distillate

By Paul Sankey Published on February 22, 2026 at 5:53 PM

Pondering the potential disaster of the incoming blizzard that has started here. Our Monday JFK flight to London at 9am… Cancelled First world problem Some 80% of the world’s population has never taken a plane. As of 4pm snow barely an inch ~ This note is a bullish US Distillate note. Strong demand, flat supply. Bullish complex refiners such as Valero, Marathon Petroleum and PSX, but the rising tide lifts all US refining boats, assuming …

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Morning Jake & Jeanine, MbZ vs MbS

By Paul Sankey Published on February 17, 2026 at 9:01 AM

This very evening, later today: Happy Hour Strategy Session; 4PM ET, Zoom, Chevron featuring Jake Spiering, who has just had a massive promotion out of Investor Relations, to replace retiring Frank Mount, President, Corporate Business Development “Head of M&A”. We also feature Jeanine Wai, who is incoming Chevron IR, and former Chevron employee who subsequently was a top sellside analyst and most recently head of US IR for TOTALEnergies. Register here for this evening’s chat. …

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BP: Can’t Get Out of its Own Way

By Paul Sankey Published on February 10, 2026 at 8:41 AM

What do you think on BP? Major investor: “They fumbled the buyback guidance” BP absolutely fumbled their buyback guidance, turning what could have been a straightforward story of financial prudence into this head-scratcher headline: ”BP cuts buyback, re-iterates 2026 net debt target unchanged” That whacked shares over- 4% this morning – there goes -$4bn on the London open, off BP’s $100bn market cap. Good morning to you. BP held the dividend steady at 8.32 cents …

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