By Paul Sankey
Published on August 1, 2026 at 3:37 PM
Illustrated below, Hormuz flows split crude oil vs products. We note the extent to which the war has interrupted oil product supplies globally, especially to Asia and Europe. Source: Kpler, Sankey Research, Claude The market tends to focus on the crude oil impact, but in reality it is gasoline trading at $150/bbl wholesale, not crude at $90/bbl. We did not quite get the celebrated $250/bbl, but Asian jet fuel hit $240.50/bbl on 4 March — …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on April 9, 2026 at 1:18 PM
Greetings, Today, very shortly, 4pm Zoom Michelle Brouhard, Head of Policy & Geopolitical Risk at Kpler [global leading satellite/data intelligence focused on commodity markets]. A former oil trader and hedge fund player, Michelle is an expert in global oil balances, working for the premium oil flow intelligence player, Kpler. Register here: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-michelle-brouhard-head-of-policy-geopolitical-risk-at-kpler-interest-form/ ~ 1. The problem: refinery capacity and ships, not crude supply My thoughts have been occupied with the global refining and oil product …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on March 2, 2026 at 6:45 PM
Paul, Saw your comments re: the Strait [of Hormuz]. Trying to get a sense of why tanker volume is so low between 1. Insurance 2. Voluntary – “let’s wait” 3. Iranian posturing 4. Fear of attacks 5. Actual attacks… etc… Agree with you that certainly don’t have the Navy to do it and mining seems like an extreme step so question really I guess is what does it take to get tankers (non Chinese/Russian) moving …
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