Breaking: White House vs Refiners Meeting Summary

By Paul Sankey Published on September 1, 2026 at 6:32 PM

White House Refiner Meeting Summary post-meeting feedback from “I am on a plane leaving DC” Excellent source: “There seems to be full appreciation that the unintended consequences of an export ban would be severe”. That’s all you need to know, the single biggest risk to the US Independent refiner and (+XOM, CVX refining segment) is mitigated. We would argue Shell/Euro refiners would benefit from a ban. Carry on. ~ Second biggest macro risk is demand …

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Happy Hour, C’est Moi: Open mike today, next Thursday Valero Head of Trading

By Paul Sankey Published on July 30, 2026 at 12:54 PM

Today, if anyone wants to join, I will do an open mike session as our Happy Hour this week. 4pm ET by Zoom. It might be just you and me if you dial in. Which is good by me. I made a presentation to 100 insurance executives yesterday and I have been on both Bloomberg TV and Radio this morning, so I am rapping. Open Mike Discussion July 30th 2026: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-open-mic-interest-form/ Things to chat about: …

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Riding the Oilfield Service Rodeo, with HAL, PUMP, and WTF

By Paul Sankey Published on July 27, 2026 at 7:33 PM

Publishing a note on Sunday has become existential for me, so I apologise for not getting this note out yesterday. This is my Sunday note… so late it is on a Monday. I have stripped it down to be mostly about Halliburton. What started as a quick look at Halliburton’s results for Sunday, then got tangled with Liberty Energy down -25% on its results last week, SLB results then had that stock moving strongly higher …

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