By Paul Sankey
Published on March 17, 2024 at 4:32 PM
Greetings, Happy St Patrick’s Day to all, not least my wife Patricia and her mom, Patricia, both “Paty”. A thought today for my Irish grandmother, Ivy. From Cork. This past week: ExxonMobil slipped out the old Friday-night-after-the-close press release on yet more Guyana exploration success Profrac announced a market share war in US pressure pumping that we thought so significant, we started a major oil price & market thematic. Stay tuned on ACDC (the ticker …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on March 12, 2024 at 11:22 PM
Heading to Houston next week, following major oil leaders, lots of chat on the biggest oil corporate story right now. In this note we update our delineation of Guyana’s Stabroek block, with a view to the value that is essentially disputed in the takeover battle between Chevron and ExxonMobil for Hess. Many have noted how disclosure on Guyana from XOM was shut down nearly two years ago, and we speculate. We delineate Hess value, as …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 13, 2024 at 8:47 AM
At 6x pro forma EBITDA, FANG should be worth $180-190/share considering $11-12B EBITDA, less purchase-price adjusted net debt and midstream subsidiary Venom (VNOM) non-controlling interest. From there, it is a gravitational pull to $200. Everyone loves round numbers. Like 5,500 on the S&P500. Or Nvidia $1,000. But for oils, we have to rely on fundamental cashflow-based valuation. Source: Company reports, Sankey Research ~ Today’s WSJ feature on Autrey Stephens, the owner of Endeavor Energy, confirms …
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