By Paul Sankey
Published on June 3, 2026 at 6:42 PM
Yet again, we find the Hormuz situation has actually deteriorated. CNBC today interviewed Israeli PM Netanyahu. He remains hard line, talking Iranian regime collapse. Bond vigilantes are marauding today, 30 year going through 5% again. Equity market doesn’t like it. And when they write the history of the AI bubble 2022-2027, the issuance by Google of $80bn of stock in early June 2026 will be one red line that was crossed. We have said Argentina …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 22, 2026 at 5:53 PM
Pondering the potential disaster of the incoming blizzard that has started here. Our Monday JFK flight to London at 9am… Cancelled First world problem Some 80% of the world’s population has never taken a plane. As of 4pm snow barely an inch ~ This note is a bullish US Distillate note. Strong demand, flat supply. Bullish complex refiners such as Valero, Marathon Petroleum and PSX, but the rising tide lifts all US refining boats, assuming …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on November 26, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Assuming you are sitting in a traffic jam in the back of a limo being driven out to your country estate for Thanksgiving, we send a little reading for the holiday. You have no doubt seen or experienced this year’s travel data: all-time records. In this note we explain why every year more and more people drive for Thanksgiving, according to our theory: Ex-urbanisation. Notable for Thanksgiving travel, that we are clearly higher than …
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