The Winner Takes it All… in my Living Room

By Paul Sankey Published on July 5, 2026 at 3:19 PM

Brief today, no homework, between hosting a July 4th Barbeque last night, watching the fireworks from the Promenade – they really lit it up big time, incredible – and the tall ships. I wondered if we would get drones, but they went with the big artillery. At one point the Brooklyn Bridge was a cascading flow of white fire into the water below. The bonus of the tall ship show yesterday morning offset the catastrophe. …

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DOE data: Don’t Break the Rules; Merely Test Their Elasticity.

By Paul Sankey Published on June 3, 2026 at 6:42 PM

Yet again, we find the Hormuz situation has actually deteriorated. CNBC today interviewed Israeli PM Netanyahu. He remains hard line, talking Iranian regime collapse. Bond vigilantes are marauding today, 30 year going through 5% again. Equity market doesn’t like it. And when they write the history of the AI bubble 2022-2027, the issuance by Google of $80bn of stock in early June 2026 will be one red line that was crossed. We have said Argentina …

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Sunday Distilling US Distillate

By Paul Sankey Published on February 22, 2026 at 5:53 PM

Pondering the potential disaster of the incoming blizzard that has started here. Our Monday JFK flight to London at 9am… Cancelled First world problem Some 80% of the world’s population has never taken a plane. As of 4pm snow barely an inch ~ This note is a bullish US Distillate note. Strong demand, flat supply. Bullish complex refiners such as Valero, Marathon Petroleum and PSX, but the rising tide lifts all US refining boats, assuming …

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