By Paul Sankey
Published on February 22, 2026 at 5:53 PM
Pondering the potential disaster of the incoming blizzard that has started here. Our Monday JFK flight to London at 9am… Cancelled First world problem Some 80% of the world’s population has never taken a plane. As of 4pm snow barely an inch ~ This note is a bullish US Distillate note. Strong demand, flat supply. Bullish complex refiners such as Valero, Marathon Petroleum and PSX, but the rising tide lifts all US refining boats, assuming …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on November 26, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Assuming you are sitting in a traffic jam in the back of a limo being driven out to your country estate for Thanksgiving, we send a little reading for the holiday. You have no doubt seen or experienced this year’s travel data: all-time records. In this note we explain why every year more and more people drive for Thanksgiving, according to our theory: Ex-urbanisation. Notable for Thanksgiving travel, that we are clearly higher than …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on June 25, 2025 at 12:24 PM
Noted WSJ (typically the most reliable M&A source: “Shell in early talks to acquire BP,” Shell were in early talks to acquire BP in 2005, so good luck with that. BP needs a solution though, no question. We note that the Chairman of Shell Sir Andrew Mackenzie had dealings with activist Elliott Management when he was CEO of BHP, that is now involved with BP, at least involved according to press reports. ~ COVID changed …
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