By Paul Sankey
Published on May 31, 2026 at 7:05 PM
Amazing to watch May 2026 pass so fast, and Hormuz still all-but shut. Everybody points to June as the month in which things turn ugly in terms of tank bottoms, and price going exponentially higher seeking to destroy demand. But bottom line, prices are lower, and everyone is still merrily flying around. In this note we re-visit our JetFuel thesis – as we witness record flights, what’s the problem? We conclude that the key answer …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on May 3, 2026 at 4:02 PM
Greetings, Refiners are running at max capacity, and oil prices are finding a Hormuz blockage hierarchy. Excess profits are accruing to oil producers, US refiners, and shipping companies. Front page of USA Today, Daily Mail, nothing on Hormuz. I scrolled all the way down on the NY Post – not one story on Hormuz today. While the oil analysts get frantic, the NASDAQ hit a record high, and the President’s most important advisor, Mr Market, …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on April 26, 2026 at 8:36 PM
This week, delighted to say we will host Ed Morse, the most tenured oil analyst on Wall St, a legend, to Happy Hour at our regular 4pm ET time slot, Thursday (30th April – time flies). I appeared on CNBC with Ed live from the NYSE in March 2020, and listened to answers very, very carefully. I walked away and tripled all my demand destruction forecasts, worked out the combination of Saudi at record production …
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