Love Letter to Ethane (from the Frontline of the US-China Trade War)

By Paul Sankey Published on April 26, 2025 at 4:55 PM

He said, Xi said (nothing). We all suffer lunacy in tracking the often-antagonistic, sometimes-capitulative iterations of this “nonsensical” trade war. Headlines this week have drifted towards hyperbole, portents of the death of US-China energy trade – especially oil and LNG. In this note we tit-tat US-China energy. Key points: US energy trade with China is one worldscale trade where we, the USA, are in major trade surplus, globally the dominant supply player, and effectively control …

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Chevron, Valero, Venture Global: Wintry Mix

By Paul Sankey Published on February 6, 2025 at 10:34 AM

Freezing winter slush day, very on-brand early February here in Brooklyn Heights. Freezing wet mix, snowy rain settling as sloppy snow. Cold. Black and white; grey. Time for Happy Hour! TONIGHT Happy Hour Zoom 4pm ET Jake Spiering of Chevron Another timely guest, after we did Hess and Jay Wilson last week. Jake is a terrific spokesman/investor relations for Chevron, market cap $275bn, $31.5bn of cashflow from operations in 2024, $15bn capex, production 3.33 mboe/d …

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Suncor, or a Rose by any other name would smell Tourmaline

By Paul Sankey Published on November 14, 2024 at 8:04 AM

My standard line on the challenge as an analyst, is that you make a good call, and within three months everyone else starts saying it. Good calls can’t remain exclusive. Sure enough, today the IEA is out questioning whether China oil demand has peaked, making 2024 an epic (bearish) year in global oil market history. Yesterday I was reading an article from CGEP mooting the same call. We will come back to the subject Sunday, …

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