Oh Darling! ($DAR) California’s Lollipop Cuts

By Paul Sankey Published on August 14, 2024 at 9:49 AM

A focus note for you today, on Darling and the California Low Carbon Fuel Standard which has been an important factor in the weakness in West Coast refining margins, that is bleeding into wider refining margin weakness vs current refiner earnings estimates for Q3. We show in this note that California diesel is now 60% renewable, with attendant pressure on refining margins there, as gasoline demand has peaked, and 25% of vehicle sales are electric. …

Read More

Sunday Code Ed

By Paul Sankey Published on May 19, 2024 at 4:33 PM

Congratulations, All but made it! You are in striking distance – a week – of Memorial Day; the hard yards for 2024 are behind us, the brutal January-to-Memorial Day run. Summer is upon us, dust down the seersucker jacket, linen white pants, fabric shoes, break out the Sunday Sankey recipe for Pimms, the great British summer drink, Wimbledon, Henley, Ascot beckon. Or a hot dog at the .444 Mets – the stadium is great! Why …

Read More

Sunday Non-Plussed, OPEC+ and Rubber Chicken

By Paul Sankey Published on May 5, 2024 at 6:51 PM

Well personally, I feel like I got run over by Fed Chair Jay Powell last week, because I expected him to be hawkish, but he was dovish, simple as that. Guess there’s enough evidence of economic slowdown, for him to think that interest cuts are coming. CNBC May 1st 2024: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said it was unlikely that the central bank’s next move will be a rate hike. The comment spurred a rally …

Read More