By Paul Sankey
Published on February 13, 2025 at 9:35 AM
Super-timely call coming up given Valero’s status as the largest importer of Russian oil pre-Ukraine invasion. Biggest Mexican crude importer. #2 behind PSX on Canada heavy oil. Major potential Venezuelan importer. Major former Saudi importer. Today/now Thursday 13th February 10:30am ET: Valero CEO Lane Riggs, CFO Jason Fraser, COO Gary Simmons, IR Homer Bhullar Registration Link – https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-refining-conference-valero-interest-form/ You cannot consider the current geopolitical landscape without knowing this chart of US oil imports from Saudi. Source: Bloomberg …
Read More
By Paul Sankey
Published on January 26, 2025 at 4:38 PM
A short catch up note today, struggling to see through the blizzard of wood chippings flying out of Washington DC: smoke, flames, feathers, shards of ice … in fact the blizzards and smoke are veritably across the whole USA, as President Trump seems to be everywhere, and making speeches everywhere, with regular but subject-scattered commentary, at-times with wild implications. And that was Week One. Gone are the days of Joe Biden making “no comment” or …
Read More
By Paul Sankey
Published on August 14, 2024 at 9:49 AM
A focus note for you today, on Darling and the California Low Carbon Fuel Standard which has been an important factor in the weakness in West Coast refining margins, that is bleeding into wider refining margin weakness vs current refiner earnings estimates for Q3. We show in this note that California diesel is now 60% renewable, with attendant pressure on refining margins there, as gasoline demand has peaked, and 25% of vehicle sales are electric. …
Read More
