You, Me, and the UAE; Oil Export Volumes, History & Present Situation

By Paul Sankey Published on August 1, 2026 at 3:37 PM

Illustrated below, Hormuz flows split crude oil vs products. We note the extent to which the war has interrupted oil product supplies globally, especially to Asia and Europe. Source: Kpler, Sankey Research, Claude The market tends to focus on the crude oil impact, but in reality it is gasoline trading at $150/bbl wholesale, not crude at $90/bbl. We did not quite get the celebrated $250/bbl, but Asian jet fuel hit $240.50/bbl on 4 March — …

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Forty Minutes of Frank Kelly – Zoom Recording

By Paul Sankey Published on March 13, 2026 at 11:25 AM

Link to Frank Kelly Happy Hour yesterday, quite a few client questions. The biggest question Frank was getting on the road marketing before the call? This is all related to Epstein, right? No plan, no military solution, no end in sight. Major focus as we highlighted yesterday on China Xi meeting Trump 31st March. Bessent was apparently meeting the Chinese in Europe yesterday. https://analysthub.zoom.us/rec/share/ns5qhv5Q6IdgDAGX6A0OAldpM6wAfbdNbhzbEKDOrYIOgCNoWfAatLeG-RHKqebq.vQuxUSl5WKR5iIWR

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Sunday and Smith Must Score

By Paul Sankey Published on January 11, 2026 at 8:23 PM

This note covers the Oil CEO meeting at the White House on Friday, and tomorrow we host Mark Lashier, CEO Phillips 66, who was in the room. Refining Conference continuation: Jan 12th Monday @2:00pm ET – HF Sinclair – Timothy Go, CEO, Craig Biery, & Trey Schonter III, IR Jan 12th Monday @3:30pm ET – Phillips 66 – Mark Lashier, CEO, Kevin Mitchell, CFO & Sean Maher IR To round out, also at the White House meeting: Feb 4th Wednesday @4:00pm –Valero– Lane Riggs, …

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