Happy Hour starting soon 8:15am Julie Goh from Singapore on Refining

By Paul Sankey Published on April 22, 2026 at 7:14 AM

Starting NOW – Happy Hour today WEDS is at 8:15am ET. June Goh of Sparta Commodities is the Singapore refining expert causing an internet/Twitter oil Hormuz sensation with coherent and technically accurate Tweets on the subject. From a Singapore oil trading perspective. Bonus: she has 15+ years’ experience at Shell downstream, in all the refining business lines that are key right now. *** Register Here *** Guest – June Goh, Sparta Commodities – Wednesday, April …

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Hormuz Crisis Series: European Jets Jets Jets

By Paul Sankey Published on April 18, 2026 at 4:37 PM

Last week, having satisfied my curiosity on Taiwan and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) — which basically concluded that TSMC will keep getting cheap reliable subsidized government electricity even if it means Mrs Cheng has no aircon. That is globally important; AI is the counter theme to Hormuz and after TSMC’s earnings call, we concluded they are good to go for another quarter of crisis, so relatively very comfortable. Nothing it at all comfortable right now in …

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Sunday If it Wasn’t for Bad Luck…

By Paul Sankey Published on March 29, 2026 at 8:19 PM

Greetings, The situation in Gulf War III is actually normalizing. The problem however, is that the “new normal” is total Iranian control of both the Strait of Hormuz, and likely the Bab El Mandeb. There is increasing recognition that with Netanyahu strengthened in Israeli domestic politics by Gulf War III (war approval is ~85%), and President Trump weakened — facing a 59% overall disapproval rating and 64% disapproval on his handling of the conflict—the main …

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