By Paul Sankey
Published on February 13, 2025 at 9:35 AM
Super-timely call coming up given Valero’s status as the largest importer of Russian oil pre-Ukraine invasion. Biggest Mexican crude importer. #2 behind PSX on Canada heavy oil. Major potential Venezuelan importer. Major former Saudi importer. Today/now Thursday 13th February 10:30am ET: Valero CEO Lane Riggs, CFO Jason Fraser, COO Gary Simmons, IR Homer Bhullar Registration Link – https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-refining-conference-valero-interest-form/ You cannot consider the current geopolitical landscape without knowing this chart of US oil imports from Saudi. Source: Bloomberg …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on January 26, 2025 at 4:38 PM
A short catch up note today, struggling to see through the blizzard of wood chippings flying out of Washington DC: smoke, flames, feathers, shards of ice … in fact the blizzards and smoke are veritably across the whole USA, as President Trump seems to be everywhere, and making speeches everywhere, with regular but subject-scattered commentary, at-times with wild implications. And that was Week One. Gone are the days of Joe Biden making “no comment” or …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on January 12, 2025 at 5:45 PM
One mega-policy that is emerging for Trump II is an old classic: The Monroe Doctrine. In this note we run through an argument that says, “truly anything can happen with Trump and foreign policy.” Pinball market. The key uncertainty is China, where economic weakness in China suggests Trump holds the power Shipping stocks ripping imply Russia-Ukraine will be a protracted negotiation; we see Biden tightening shadow fleet sanctions as strengthening Trump’s and Saudi’s hands; and …
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