By Paul Sankey
Published on April 27, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Greetings, We can keep it shorter today, as yesterday we sent you a Greg Bordelon thematic special on China energy tariffs, not to mention he beat me this evening and released his Model Portfolio note just now. The China note yesterday I most enjoyed reading & editing, and adding fun asides, from the Delta lounge at LAX on Friday night before I took the red-eye back here to Brooklyn. No wonder I never normally take …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on March 6, 2025 at 8:02 AM
This is about OPEC+ AND demand, in this note we look at the latest US oil data, and tell a personal story about Elliott-for-PSX Board candidate Al Hirshberg. Using distillate (diesel) as our proxy, the fuel of transporting goods, as our proxy for economic activity, we find an abrupt and alarming change in the shape of distillate timespreads, where the fall from a smidge of backwardation has given way to outright collapse. If this is …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 13, 2025 at 9:35 AM
Super-timely call coming up given Valero’s status as the largest importer of Russian oil pre-Ukraine invasion. Biggest Mexican crude importer. #2 behind PSX on Canada heavy oil. Major potential Venezuelan importer. Major former Saudi importer. Today/now Thursday 13th February 10:30am ET: Valero CEO Lane Riggs, CFO Jason Fraser, COO Gary Simmons, IR Homer Bhullar Registration Link – https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-refining-conference-valero-interest-form/ You cannot consider the current geopolitical landscape without knowing this chart of US oil imports from Saudi. Source: Bloomberg …
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