Double why me? US Trade War meets OPEC Market Share War

By Paul Sankey Published on April 3, 2025 at 8:48 AM

Doubly whammy for us; The world’s dominant trading partner declaring a trade war, And the world’s biggest cartel declaring a free market free-for-all on production. Oil is actually holding up okay, I mean only down around -6%, but things are about to get worse. We have just the right guests today for a midday market update. Frank Kelly can explain what on earth is going on in DC, and Kathleen Kelley can explain OPEC dynamics. …

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OPEC Increase Tape Bomb; “Storage, Baby, Storage”

By Paul Sankey Published on March 3, 2025 at 9:01 PM

Obvious first take is that the order came down from on high: Trump says “increase oil production” and MBS (Saudi Arabia) and Putin (Russia), the baseload of OPEC+, decide to increase production. Simple. Thus it was announced in an an official OPEC+ Press Release this afternoon that tape-bombed the oil market (wider market already plummeting), “OPEC to increase production into an over-supplied market”, with the mood on Wall Street in full “sell them all” mode. …

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Titanic Deckchair Re-Arrangement Committee (OPEC) Meeting Concludes

By Paul Sankey Published on December 5, 2024 at 12:09 PM

This evening 4pm Happy Hour with Kathleen Kelley, special listener Ed Morse, and clients, to discuss OPEC. Register here for an OPEC chat, PREMIUM EVENT: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-kathleen-kelley-interest-form-6/ Have to run after Happy Hour to the annual “Sellside Analyst Appreciation Dinner” with Chevron senior management this evening. They put us in stocks and throw mud pies at us. Only kidding, looking forward to it. ~ Man, normally oil pops on an OPEC extends cuts decision, and then …

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