Sunday B-b-b-baby, You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet

By Paul Sankey Published on April 6, 2025 at 6:55 PM

Assuming you have not just returned from a vacation to Mars, there is no need to describe what happened last week. Remember our old line that “OPEC cuts are bearish US natgas prices?” Well, we come back to that later. OPEC increases this past week… bullish natgas. As we noted in the weekly video we sent Thursday/Friday, we like natgas, gold, (and tobacco). We don’t like refining, oil service, and E&P. Watch this week for …

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Double why me? US Trade War meets OPEC Market Share War

By Paul Sankey Published on April 3, 2025 at 8:48 AM

Doubly whammy for us; The world’s dominant trading partner declaring a trade war, And the world’s biggest cartel declaring a free market free-for-all on production. Oil is actually holding up okay, I mean only down around -6%, but things are about to get worse. We have just the right guests today for a midday market update. Frank Kelly can explain what on earth is going on in DC, and Kathleen Kelley can explain OPEC dynamics. …

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OPEC Increase Tape Bomb; “Storage, Baby, Storage”

By Paul Sankey Published on March 3, 2025 at 9:01 PM

Obvious first take is that the order came down from on high: Trump says “increase oil production” and MBS (Saudi Arabia) and Putin (Russia), the baseload of OPEC+, decide to increase production. Simple. Thus it was announced in an an official OPEC+ Press Release this afternoon that tape-bombed the oil market (wider market already plummeting), “OPEC to increase production into an over-supplied market”, with the mood on Wall Street in full “sell them all” mode. …

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