Sunday Multiple Multiples

By Paul Sankey Published on August 18, 2024 at 4:07 PM

On Friday I chatted to a major & long term client, a gen-u-ine hedge fund portfolio manager, and I realized that all our stock views right now are about multiple expansion/contraction; because we cannot get there on a bullish macro call. So today we talk multiples. ~ People kindly ask me how its going at Sankey Research, and the response is that the primary driver of our business is “Oil’s share of the S&P500”. Below …

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Sunday Saudi Puts, Iran Puts, SPR Puts, and

By Paul Sankey Published on May 12, 2024 at 7:08 PM

We have hit that point in oil markets when suddenly, just like that, all the newsflow turns bearish. Better put “seems bearish”. Once again, like our commentary on US distillate looking less terrible when you add back renewable diesel (note published last week), latest reports of the death of the oil market are over-stated. Prior reports have proven completely wrong. While there may be bearish fears regarding the upcoming June 1st OPEC meeting, the reality …

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XOM vs CVX: Thinking Heads to Talking Heads

By Paul Sankey Published on April 27, 2024 at 2:11 PM

At the risk of losing you with the first phrase, dear reader, we are starting today’s note on US college campuses. A different approach to ExxonMobil and Chevron results. It is not often that the CEO of ExxonMobil – Darren Woods – brings tears to my eyes with the answer to a question, followed by me giving a mental standing ovation, but as his interview with Becky Quick on CNBC yesterday morning concluded, they had …

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